3 Techniques for Risk Management in Trading
In this article, I am going to discuss 3 techniques for Risk Management in Trading. Please read my previous article where I discussed How to Day Trade with 5 simple GAP Trading Strategies. Here I will discuss my trading secret to success
- Risk protection
- Risk profile
- Active trade management
Introduction to Risk Management in Trading
Trading knowledge including technical analysis, good strategies and chart reading are all necessary but alone are not enough to make you a successful trader
Today’s post is going to be one of the most important you’ll ever read. Here I will discuss risk management. Because if you apply the risk management strategies, I can guarantee you’ll never blow up another trading account and you might even become a profitable trader
Risk management is the foundation of a successful trading system. We can basically break risk management into 3 categories:
- Risk protection
- Risk profile
- Active Trade management
Let’s discuss all these in details
In order to protect against something it is necessary to begin with an understanding of what it is that you are protecting against. It is fine to say that protection is being taken against potential loss. Losses are inevitable part of the trading game. We need to accept losses as cost of doing this business. World’s best traders too lose a lot.
- The underlying root cause of a loss in any particular trading situation is the trader’s own fear and greed.
Let’s start with fear
Fear warns you that something doesn’t feel right about a trade that you took; you have to try to figure out what exactly is going wrong
Any fear that does exist works in two ways.
- There is the fear of missing an opportunity (FOMO)
- There is also the fear of incurring a major loss
The protection against each is somewhat different.
Let’s discuss each in depth
Protection against Fear of missing an opportunity (FOMO)
How it affect our trading
- The fear of a missed opportunity may result in a premature trade. What most of us do We’re so afraid of missing a profit that we tend to constantly trade too early.
- The common mistake made here is to conclude that a little bit of a wait is no problem because the eventual result will justify it. How do you know it’s going to be just a short wait? That’s an assumption.
- A much bigger problem, however, is that the judgment (upon) which the trade is based may be invalid. Because that opportunity has not had a chance to fully develop. That means something could go wrong. If it does, the position will probably be stopped out.
HOW TO PREVENT Fear of missing an opportunity (FOMO)
Unfortunately there is no mechanical tool that will invariably keep you from trading too early.
- Protection against the fear of missing an opportunity is discipline and confidence on your method
4 Steps for Disciplined Trading:
- Take direction from the market, not from your hopes, greed or fear. Most traders do not see the market clearly. Control your beliefs about the market
- Predefine your risk before taking a trade
- Cut your losses without hesitation
- Use a systematic money management plan
Confidence in your method makes all the difference in trading. You will not be able to make money unless you have total confidence in your methods. But the problem is that you will not have confidence in your methods if you are not making money with it. To become a consistently profitable trader, you need to develop a method that suits your personality. When developing a trading plan, you should know and understand the logic behind each step. This will boost your confidence and will give you the discipline to follow the plan. Confidence believes in your ability to do something.
To be successful in trading, we must have a method with an edge. We need to trade the method long enough
Ignoring the results of individual trades to win. This is not possible without total trust in your methods. If you have Confidence in your trading method, losses shouldn’t worry you at all. Just take it and move on. Successful trading is not totally avoiding losses but winning more than what you lose. For every trade we enter, there could be four outcomes. a) Big Loss, b) Small Loss, c) Small Win and d) Big Win. Let us remove the Big Loss from this. Small Wins will take care of Small losses and Big wins will remain with us. Ensure that your trading plan eliminates the possibility of losing big. “You can’t make money if you are not willing to lose. It’s like breathing in, but not willing to breathe out” Ed Seykota
Fear is of incurring a major loss
The other type of fear is of incurring a major loss. It is done with a stop order. The stop order lets the investor take comfort in the fact that if his appraisal is badly flawed, his loss will be cut short before it turns into a disaster.
If a trade has been made too early (FOMO), the stop may be too close to survive the remaining and unknown action of the trading range. In these cases the position may be lost to a stop resulting in a loss even though the eventual outcome has been properly diagnosed market.
- Using a stop correctly means maintaining a profit – risk ratio that is in your favour. Be careful however, that you don’t end up using this idea in a way that unduly restricts the stock’s ability to move.
- Over the years we have found that the most generally acceptable profit – risk ration is 3 to 1. First of all, it prevents a major loss it also gives the stock some breathing room. It is unreasonable to assume that every stock will be caught exactly at its turn.
- A long position may move somewhat lower before it turns up and a short position may move somewhat higher before it turns down. You have got to allow some margin for error.
Stop loss order
How to place a proper stop loss order?
Step 1 =Identify the structure of the markets
Step 2 = Place your stop loss beyond the structure
Let me explain…
Identify the structure of the markets
Step 2 = Place your stop loss beyond the structure
These are important points in the market because that’s where most traders will place their stop loss.
Because if price trades beyond it, it will invalidate their trading setup as they know they are wrong on their trade. But, the problem with placing your stop loss near these levels is, it gets triggered easily by smart money
Why they do this?
Smart Money paid to collect VOLUME (where Liquidity is found). He only targets places with higher Volumes are and he collects them.
How they do?
They spikes in one direction or the other hitting the stop losses of either sellers or buyers
Protection against greed
Greed is perhaps more basic. When it is responsible for a loss it is a loss of already realized profits
From an objective standpoint you would think that when a reasonable profit has been developed in a position there would be a great deal of satisfaction in taking of that profit. Unfortunately, it doesn’t always work that way. Let’s analysis the situation
- After market given a certain level of profit there is a tendency to want more (greed) instead of being satisfied.
- The desire to have more profit causes the situation to be analysed from that standpoint (greed) and not from the standpoint of things as they really are. At that point greed has taken control and the profit already gained is put in jeopardy
- Consider these examples. A stock is in an uptrend and has been for quite some time with good upside progress being the result. There are two good reasons here for selling this stock .The stock becomes overbought, reaches its upside objective or key resistance
Here’s an example for Risk Management in Trading:
You go long on a breakout and the trade goes in your favor immediately. Shortly, you have open profits of 3R and your trading strategy tells you to exit your trade (because the market has reached a key Resistance). But, you tell yourself: “This chart is looking so bullish, I should hold this trade longer for bigger profits”. So, you hold onto the trade. Slowly, the market starts to reverse and wiped out a portion of your open profits. Now you’re feeling anxious but you tell yourself: “Never mind, I’ll exit the trade if the market goes up a little more”. Unfortunately, the market didn’t go higher and retrace all the way and hit your stop loss.
How to overcome greed
- Pre-establish a sell or cover order in the area of the anticipated objective
- Or once price is reached in the anticipated objective , tighten your stop loss(trailing stop order)
Pre-establish a sell or cover order in the area of the anticipated objective
- The only way to totally protect oneself from greed is to take steps against it at the time a position is one of the best ways to do this is to predetermine and preestablish a sell or cover order in the area of the anticipated objective. When the stock reaches that level the established. Position will be automatically eliminated and the profit protected.” Greed won’t even have a chance.
TRAILING STOP ORDER
We identify zones in which we’re happy to trade, and then work the best entry we can within that area. Stops should be placed in a location that invalidates the trade
Not every position is going to make it to its indicated objective. I mean not every position hit the target. In those cases where the ultimate objective is not met, how to protect the position? The stop order can be used very effectively for this type of protection providing. If it is used correctly throughout the life of the position.
That means re positioning it as the move progresses. The first objective in re positioning a stop is to get up to or down to the trade price as quickly as possible. One this is accomplished, the investor’s funds are protected against loss and he can breathe a little easier. This re positioning, or any to follow, cannot be done in a careless fashion. If it is, initial capital may be protected, but profits will likely be scarce.
The rest periods between the periods of progress are extremely important. They will indicate when a stop can be moved and more importantly to what level it can be moved. A resting period will either come as a normal correction or as a horizontal consolidation. The stop should be re positioned just above or below the extremes of these periods just as soon as there is an indication that the prior progress is being renewed. Don’t be in too much of a hurry on this. If you cannot point to some action that clearly indicates the prior move is about to be renewed, you may be setting yourself up to be stopped out by a correction that goes a little farther than you had expected or by the consolidation that ends with an unexpected shakeout or up thrust action.
X is an aggressive trader and he risks 20% of his account on each trade. Y is a conservative trader and she risks 2% of her account on each trade. Both adopt a trading strategy that wins 50% of the time with an average of 1:2 risk to reward. Over the next 10 trades, the outcomes are Lose Lose Lose Lose Lose Lose Win Win Win Win Win.
Here’s the outcome for X :
-20% -20% – 20% – 20% -20%= BLOW UP
Here’s the outcome for Y:
-2% -2% -2% -2% +4% +4% +4% +4% = +8%
Risk Management in Trading could be a deciding factor whether you’re a consistently profitable trader or, losing trader.
Remember, you can have the best trading strategy in the world. But without proper risk management, you won’t be success in trading.
What do we include in Risk Profile?
- What is the level of Risk: Reward ratio will we be working in each trade? Profile
- What is the maximum percentage of our account we are willing to risk on each trade or day or week?
- What is the maximum position size we can use per trade?
Risk Reward Ratio
Risk Defined as The amount a trader is willing to lose on a trade if it hits his or her stop. Calculate risk on trade (size of stop) by measuring the distance between entry and stop loss
The reward is simply defined as the price distance between our entry and our profit point. The trading risk-reward ratio simply determines the potential loss (risk) versus the potential profit (reward) on any given trade.
How to measure the risk-reward ratio?
Risk Reward Ratio(R: R) = Total Risk on each trade / Total Reward on that trade
What’s the maximum percentage of our account we are willing to risk on any one or more trade/s?
- Only risk a small amount of your total account per trade , you want to keep your risk low, perhaps 0.5 to 1 percent
- Only risk a small amount of total account per day. This is called a daily stop. Perhaps set a rule that if you lose 3 or 4 percent of our total account in a given day, you will stop trading for that day
- Only risk a small amount per week. This is called a weekly stop. Perhaps set a rule that if you lose 5 percent of your total account in a given week. you will stop trading for that week
4 Step to determine maximum position size
Step1 = Establish maximum Risk amount per day based on a percentage of account size
Step2 = Divide maximum Risk amount per day with average number of trades per day to calculate risk amount per trade
Step3 = Calculate risk on trade (size of stop) by measuring the distance between entry and stop loss
Step4 = Divide the maximum risk amount per trade by risk on trade to determine the maximum position size
Let’s do it in an example
Maximum Risk percentage per day=2%
Maximum Risk amount per day= Account size* Maximum Risk percentage per day
Number of trades per day =2
Risk amount per trade= Maximum Risk amount per day/ Number of trades per day
Calculate risk on trade (size of stop) =5
Maximum position size= 1000/5=200 shares
The larger the size of your stop loss (risk), the smaller your position size (and vice versa).
Visually, it looks like this:
As long as we can stick to the above risk profile defined, we can enter 10 trades, have 5 looser and only 5 winners but still end up with profit overall.
Active Trade management
Most traders focus too much on their entries as that’s the most hopeful stage of a trade. But the fact is, your exit determines your profit and loss (P&L), not your entry. You can have a good trading entry, but if you manage your trade poorly and exit at the worst possible time, you can still end up with a loss.
In the next article, I am going to discus Active Trade Management. I mean after taking trade how to manage the trade to prevent losses. Here, in this article, I try to explain the 3 techniques for Risk Management in Trading and I hope you understand the Risk Management in Trading. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.