Supply and Demand Zone Trading
In this article, I am going to discuss Supply and Demand Zone Trading in detail. Please read our previous article where we discussed How to Trade with Smart Money. As part of this article, we are going to discuss the following pointers which are related to Supply and Demand Zone Trading.
- Structure of the market
- What is the supply-demand zone?
- How to find a supply and demand zone?
- Different types of zone
- How do measure the strength of the zone?
- When did the supply and demand zone break?
- How do trade with the supply and demand zone?
- Odd enhancer for trading with supply and demand zone
STRUCTURE OF MARKET
The price goes through the following phases
ACCUMULATION smart money is removed the floating supply of stock by buying, this process is called accumulation
TREND UP smart money aggressively moving prices up
DISTRIBUTION SM will take advantage of the higher prices obtained in the rally to take profits by beginning to sell the stock back to the uninformed traders/investors
LAWS OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND Trading
All financial markets work on the universal law of Supply and Demand.
Law of Demand– The higher the price of an item, the fewer the demand (buyers don’t want to buy at a higher price) and the lower the price, the higher the demand (buyers want to buy at a low price)
The Law of Supply-the higher the price, the higher the supply (sellers want to sell at a higher price) and lower the price, lower the supply(sellers don’t want to supply at a lower price
What are Supply and Demand Zones
Supply-demand is nothing but the border area of support or resistance
Let’s analyze NIFTY 50 STOCK
In the chart above you can see a demand zone (broad support level) and a supply zone (broad area of resistance).
What we want to find at the price zones where supply overwhelms demand and where demand overwhelms supply.
- The former is known as SUPPLY ZONES. When the market bumps into SUPPLY ZONES, the price will drop. Then, you can make money by shorting the market.
- The latter is market DEMAND ZONE. With the support of demand, the price will rise. Then, you can profit in a long position.
- If the supply zone is broken it becomes a demand zone, pullback test from the demand zone you can go long
How to Find Supply and Demand Zones in Trading
Two steps in order to identify the supply and demand zones.
- Look at the chart and try to spot successive large successive candles. It is important that price moves a lot
- Establish the base (usually sideways price action area) from which price started the quick move
Different Types of Supply and Demand Formations
There are different supply and demand zone patterns. Some of the more popular ones are shown below:
TREND CONTINUOUS BASE
- RALLY BASE RALLY(RBR)
- DOWN BASE DOWN (DBD)
TREND REVERSAL BASE
- RALLY BASE DROP (RBD)
- DOWN BASE RALLY (DBR)
NOW PUTTING ALL THIS INTO NIFTY 50CHART
STRENGTH OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND ZONE
How did the price leave the level? STRENGTH OF THE MOVE
The Logic: The stronger the price moves away from a zone, the more out-of-balance supply and demand are at that zone. A heavy order is placed by smart money
How much time did the price spend at the zone? TIME AT LEVEL
The Logic: The less time price spends at a zone, the more out-of-balance supply and demand are at the price level. Smart money aggressively entering
At price levels with supply and demand zone more out of balance, the price will spend the least amount of time at the level
How far did the price move away from the zone before returning back to the zone?
The Logic: The farther price moves away from a zone before returning to that zone, the greater the reward to risk and probability.
When the price comes back to that supply level for our short entry, we have a good idea of where the buyers are (the demand) and just as importantly, where they are not.
How many times is the price approaching the zone? FRESHNESS OF BASE
First-time stock retrace to the base is the strongest to enter
When does Supply/Demand break?
After a zone is tested many times or during a strong move, Supply and Demand levels eventually break. Due to the remaining orders being triggered and gradually removed, or an overwhelming amount of orders in the opposite direction breaking the level.
- If the price stays near or at these zones & doesn’t fall much then there is a high probability that they will break the zone
- A strong move to the zone may break the zone
- low volume test confirm the zone
HOW TO ENTER DEMAND AND SUPPLY USING PRICE ACTION?
- Find SD zone on HTF(HIGHER TIME FRAME) then wait for the price to come to this level
- See any acceptance or rejection from this zone on trading time frame(TTF)
- Any reversal price action signal on TTF
- Entry in the direction of the dominant trend
- Suppose context downtrend, price rally to the supply zone on TTF, then any bearish reversal PA signal for an entry short
- Also, notice the volume on these reversals. A low volume test is a good sign & they are highly probable trades.
TIPS for day trading previous day high and previous day low is the supply and demand zone. look price action around there for acceptance or rejection of these zones
Let’s do an example
Find the supply and demand zone in a higher time frame
In an hourly time frame we find the zone
Big picture shows
1. whether trend up or down – determines which side we want to be on
2. Where are the big picture support and demand levels?
We don’t want to long below the supply zone
WHEN THE PRICE APPROACHES DEMAND ZONE
WE WANT TO SEE SIGN OF STRENGTH PRICE ACTION FOR CONFIRMATION OF THE ZONE
- MOMENTUM LOSS(DECREASING CANDLE RANGE AND BODY
- LOWER WICK
- MIX OF BOTH RED AND GREEN CANDLE
Entry on the trading time frame
ENTRY SIGNAL CANDLE
Candlesticks AT Supply and Demand
- PIN BAR
- OUTSIDE CANDLE
Odds Enhancers example
- Trade with the trend
- If INDEX AND SECTOR SHOWS POSITIVE THEN GO LONG FROM DEMAND ZONE
In the next article, I am going to discuss How to Day Trade with the Trend in detail. Here, in this article, I try to explain How to Trade with Supply and Demand Trading in detail. I hope you enjoy this Supply and Demand Trading article. Please join my Telegram Channel and YouTube Channel as well as my Facebook Group to learn more and clear your doubts.