Fibonacci Trading Strategy

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Fibonacci Trading Strategy

In this article, I will discuss the Fibonacci Trading Strategy with Real-Time Examples. Please read our previous article discussing the Volume Spike Trading Strategy with Real-Time Examples. The following Key pointers are going to be covered in this article.

  • What Fibonacci Retracement Levels Should I Use?
  • Should the price touch the retracement levels?
  • What confluence factor to check for more reliable entry?
  • How to take entry (aggressive /conservative/safe entry)?
  • Where to put the stop loss-based Fibonacci retracement ratio?
  • Where to take profit based on Fibonacci?
  • Trailing stop loss and profit booking method based on the Fibonacci extension tool

You will find some answers to the following common questions related to Fibonacci trading.

  • Does Fibonacci work in trading?
  • How successful is Fibonacci trading?
  • What is 61.8 Fibonacci?
  • What is the best time frame for Fibonacci?

Introduction to Fibonacci vs any other indicator

Moving average trend following system vs Fibonacci trading system. The initial trader bases his choices on a trend-following strategy. He is employing two 9- and 21-period simple moving averages. When the 9 MA crosses the 21 MA, a buy signal is generated. When 9 MA crosses back below 21 MA, it is time to leave the trade. Here is an example of a moving average trend following strategy.

Introduction to Fibonacci vs any other indicator

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Due to the rapid price movement and the late MA cross, the entry point was relatively late. The exit signal arrived far too late. And if the price gives deep retracement, then you will be out of trade irrespective of the price move in your direction. In this example, the deep retracement happens.

Other traders are using the Fibonacci method. He decides to trade swing, plots the Fibonacci retracement levels, and watches for an entrance signal at the level of retracement. Enter the deal as soon as the signal appears. To determine when to end the trade, he also draws the Fibonacci extension level.

Fibonacci Trading Strategy - Complete Tutorial with Real-Time Examples

When the moving average trend follows the system, the initial trader decides to enter the trade. To make a profit, it was far too late. Examine the second trader (Fibonacci). He made his entry and exit decisions well before the first trader did. He increased his profit on the same chart and closed it out while the initial trader was still holding out for the trend to continue.

What Are the Different Fibonacci Trading Tools and How to Apply Them?

The Fibonacci tools are used to identify entries, support & resistance, targets, and exits. These two are the most widely used:

  • Fibonacci retracement
  • Fibonacci extension

What is a Fibonacci Retracement, and how do you use it?

The underlying principle of the Fibonacci retracement trading method. According to the theory, the price will retrace after starting a new trend direction before continuing in the trend’s direction. So, to determine the next potential support and resistance levels, we use the Fibonacci tool.

The retracement level predicts the highest level at which retracement is possible. These retracement levels offer traders a great chance to open new trades in the trend’s direction.

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  • The Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%,61.8%, 78.6%, and 100%.

Next possible support levels are marked if the stock moves up

What is a Fibonacci Retracement and how to use it?

Basic Fibonacci Trading Strategy

Basic Fibonacci Trading StrategyHow to draw Fibonacci Retracement?

EXAMPLE FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT IN A DOWNTREND

You must locate the most recent important Swing Highs and Swing Lows to determine these Fibonacci retracement levels. Find the recent swing HIGH (starting point) and recent swing LOW (ending point), then join the 2 lines. Drag the pointer to the most recent Swing LOW to swing HIGH and find all retracement level

  • 0.618 is the golden retracement level
  • .0.5 to .618 is the imp retracement level in the trend
  • Use the Fibonacci tool along with the confluence factor for entry

How to draw Fibonacci Retracement?

EXAMPLE FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT IN A DOWNTREND

The above chart price retraces the 61.8% level. THE BELOW CHART is the continuation of the above chart. but retrace 50%

Fibonacci Trading Strategy - Complete Tutorial with Real-Time Examples

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Again, the below chart is the continuation of the above chart and retraces 78.6%

Fibonacci Trading Strategy - Complete Tutorial with Real-Time ExamplesWhat is the Fibonacci extension, and how do you use it? How to draw Fibonacci Extensions?

Fibonacci Expansion is based on three points. Here are the steps for a downtrend

Step 1 – Identify the direction of the market: downtrend. To draw it, we must identify the impulse swing (A and B points) and retracement end (point C).

Step 2 – Attach the Fibonacci extension tool on the swing high and drag it to the right, all the way to the swing low.

Step 3 – Now, drag back to the retracement end (point C).

What is the Fibonacci extension and how to use it? How to draw Fibonacci Extensions?

What is the Fibonacci extension and how to use it? How to draw Fibonacci Extensions?

Why use Fibonacci Extensions in Trading?

Opening a trade is significantly less significant than closing it. Extension tool for exit price goal. Traders can use Fibonacci extensions to set profit targets or predict how far a market may rise when a retracement is complete. Extension levels are yet another potential location for a price reversal.

Fibonacci extension levels are quite helpful in deciphering market reversals and potential roadblocks. Simply put, Fibonacci extension levels are the critical points from which the price of an instrument may change.

The Fibonacci Retracement Tool makes it easy to lay out extensions by automatically identifying several extension levels where prices can turn around. Common Fibonacci extension levels are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%.

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To fully exit a trade or book a partial profit, traders must adhere to certain guidelines. They are aware that there is a good likelihood the movement will come to an end or pause for a while.

Divide your position into three parts, which is the basic profit booking strategy traders use. At 100% extension, the first part is immediately closed. You close the second part at the 161.8% extension if the price continues to move in the direction of the trend. You let the third component increase before manually closing it using either a technical trigger or a different extension level.

Why use Fibonacci Extensions in Trading?

Difference Between Fibonacci Retracement and Fibonacci Extension

Fibonacci Retracement Fibonacci Extension
Indicates the depth of retracement after impulse move. Indicates where the price may go following a retracement in the trend
Measures Pullbacks Within a Trend. price correction or time correction Measures the trend impulses waves in the direction of the trend
Provide effective stop-loss levels and entry orders for a trend trading strategy. Gives good take-profit points in trend trading and reversal points for trend reversal techniques.
With other confluences, it can be effectively used as a profitable approach. It can be applied to a strategy for taking profits and may also indicate promising points for trend reversals.
Fibonacci Numbers are within the initial trend. (38.2%, 61.8%, 50%, etc.) Fibonacci Numbers are beyond the 100% Fibonacci level. (1.618%, 123.60%, etc.)
Fibonacci Trading Strategy

Fibonacci Trading Strategy

The Fibonacci technique works best when the market is trending, which is the first thing you should know about. When the market moves upward, the plan is to buy a retracement at a Fibonacci support level. Additionally, when the market is trending downward, it is advisable to sell a retracement at a Fibonacci resistance level. Since Fibonacci retracement levels try to foretell where the price might be, they are regarded as a technical indicator.

  • What Fibonacci retracement levels should I use?
  • Should the price touch the retracement levels?
  • What confluence factor to check for more reliable entry?
  • How to take entry (aggressive /conservative/safe entry)?
  • Where to put stop loss based on entry?
  • Where to take entry?

What Fibonacci Retracement Levels Should I Use?

Because there are so many Fibonacci retracement levels, it is initially highly confusing. Fibonacci Retracements are not entry signals; they are target areas where an entry signal may occur. Trading simply because the price has reached a Fibonacci retracement ratio level is not a wise strategy. Another confluence is required before trades can be taken.

  • If u use Fibonacci Retracements level with other concepts confirming like trend line, pivot point, or any dynamic support or resistance

Should the price touch the retracement levels?

This is always a problem for beginners. They think the retracement to any fibo level is only valid when the price touches this level. They are wrong. Fibonacci retracements are a great tool, but there is no 100% accuracy. Sometimes, the price closes near the retracement level, and it can still be a valid move.

How do you take entry?

Basically, 3 types of entry can be taken after a Fibonacci retracement.

  • Aggressive entry
  • Conservative entry
  • Safe entry

Which entry is the best for you? It is your decision. It depends on risk, reward, and probability.

Aggressive entry after deep retracement

This is the riskiest entry but a small loss and high reward setup. You are willing to take a small risk in turn for a possible bigger return. When the price near/reaches the 61.8% retracement, you go long at this level or a little above it.

  1. Identify the trend and level of Fibonacci retracement level.
  2. Look for the confluence factor
  3. Wait for a reversal candlestick pattern for entry
  4. Draw extension lines for the possible target level
  5. Put stop loss beyond recent high in downtrend also beyond Fibonacci retracement level

Aggressive entry after deep retracement

Fibonacci Trading Strategy with Real-Time Examples

Conservative Entry

The conservative entry is when you wait and watch how the price reacts toward the retracement levels. If you see that 61.8% is probably the retracement which a bounce back may occur from, you are ready to take a long position. But unlike the aggressive entry case, you wait for another confirmation. Break of minor swing low in the bearish entry. confirmation signals are not always 100% correct, but in that case, you have a lower chance of failure. The ratio between risk and possible profit is good. In this example, the trader decided the signal would be close below support.

  1. Identify the trend and level of Fibonacci retracement level.
  2. Look for the confluence factor
  3. Wait for the break of minor support for entry for a bearish trade
  4. Draw extension lines for the possible target level
  5. Put stop loss beyond recent high in downtrend also beyond Fibonacci retracement level

Conservative Entry

Conservative EntryOne more example of both entry

Fibonacci Trading Strategy with Real-Time Examples

Safe Entry

This way of trading is the safest one compared to the other two entry methods, but your possible profit is the smallest. The main idea is to buy a breakout after a price contraction.

For full details of the breakout trading strategy, click here

In theory, it should look like in the picture below:

  1. Identify the trend and level of Fibonacci retracement level.
  2. Look for price contraction before the breakout
  3. Wait for the break of support for entry for a bearish trade
  4. Draw extension lines for the possible target level
  5. Put stop loss beyond contraction high in a downtrend

Safe Entry

Fibonacci Trading Strategy Summary:

The Fibonacci trading strategy involves using Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential reversal levels, support and resistance areas, and set target prices or stop losses. Fibonacci retracements are created by taking two extreme points (usually a major peak and trough) on a stock chart and dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and sometimes 100%.

Here is a step-by-step guide to using the Fibonacci trading strategy:

Step 1: Identifying the Trend
  • Determine the trend direction by using a larger time frame chart.
  • The Fibonacci retracement is typically used in a trending market, so identifying a clear uptrend or downtrend is the first step.
Step 2: Applying the Fibonacci Retracement Tool
  • Once a significant movement in the market has been identified, apply the Fibonacci retracement tool.
  • For an uptrend, you draw the Fibonacci lines from the bottom to the top of the trend. For a downtrend, you draw from the top to the bottom.
Step 3: Looking for Confluence
  • Find areas where the Fibonacci retracement levels align with other technical indicators, like moving averages, trend lines, or candlestick patterns.
  • The more confluence you find at a Fibonacci level, the higher the chance it will act as strong support or resistance.

Step 4: Entry Point

  • Wait for the price to reach a Fibonacci level.
  • Look for signs of price stalling or reversing with candlestick patterns (like a Pin Bar) or other indicators signaling a reversal at these levels.
Step 5: Placing the Trade
  • Enter a buy order if the price finds support at a Fibonacci level in an uptrend.
  • Enter a sell order if the price finds resistance at a Fibonacci level in a downtrend.
Step 6: Stop Loss and Take Profit
  • Place a stop loss just below the recent swing low in an uptrend or above the swing high in a downtrend.
  • Your take profit can be placed at the next Fibonacci level, up in an uptrend, or down in a downtrend.
  • Alternatively, traders may use a risk-reward ratio to set targets.
Step 7: Managing the Trade
  • Adjust your stop loss to break even when the market moves in your favor.
  • Consider taking partial profits at various Fibonacci levels.
Important Considerations Fibonacci Trading Strategy
  • The 50% level is not a Fibonacci ratio, but it is included because markets tend to retrace about half of a major movement before continuing the trend.
  • The 61.8% level is often considered the “golden ratio” and is watched by many traders.
  • Fibonacci retracement levels are not foolproof; they are better used as a tool within a broader trading strategy that includes other forms of analysis and risk management.
Risk Management in Fibonacci Trading Strategy:
  • Only risk a small percentage of your trading account on any single trade.
  • Be mindful of economic news releases that could cause volatility and deviate the price action from your analysis.
Backtesting and Practice
  • Test the Fibonacci trading strategy on historical data to see its effectiveness.
  • Practice in a demo account to understand how the Fibonacci levels can play out in real market conditions.

Fibonacci trading requires patience and discipline, as not all levels will hold or result in a trend continuation. Additionally, it is important to note that Fibonacci levels are more like zones than precise levels and may require a trader to be flexible with their interpretations. In the next section, we will discuss the following Fibonacci confluence strategies in detail.

  • Fibonacci with support resistance entry method
  • Fibonacci with trendline entry method
  • Fibonacci with moving average entry method
  • Fibonacci with price pattern entry method
  • The Fibonacci convergence entry method

In the next article, I will discuss the Fibonacci Trading Strategy using the Confluence Factor with Examples. Here, in this article, I try to explain the Fibonacci Trading Strategy with Real-Time Examples. I hope you enjoy this Fibonacci Trading Strategy article. Please join my Telegram Channel and YouTube Channel as well as my Facebook Group to learn more and clear your doubts.

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2 thoughts on “Fibonacci Trading Strategy”

  1. Trading Guru i really learning a lot thanku so much for a great knowledge sharing to a normal people that to without any cost .. it’s means alot sir….

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